If Democrats have 51 seats in the Senate after the midterms, will the Senate break legislative filibuster?
Plus
13
Ṁ10kJan 3
0.9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves positively if:
• The Democrats have exactly 51 seats after the midterms, else N/A
• The U.S. Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators duly chosen and sworn, else NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Tetraspace What election was this about? Based on the creation date, it was about the 2022 elections, but the market is still open long past then.
@Gabrielle Dems got exactly 51 seats in the 2022 midterms (49D + 2I caucusing with D) so it resolves either YES or NO when senators are appointed after the 2024 election based on whether filibuster is ended by then
Related questions
Related questions
Will Democrats control the Senate at any point before January 31, 2030?
58% chance
Will Democrats control the U.S. Senate at the start of the 119th U.S. Congress?
1% chance
If the filibuster is abolished in the USA senate, will the Democrats be the majority at the time?
29% chance
Will the Senate still have the ability to filibuster in the year 2032?
56% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
15% chance
Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?
68% chance
Will the US Senate get rid of the filibuster before 2032?
52% chance
Will the legislative filibuster weakened before 2026?
49% chance
Will the US Senate use the 'Nuclear Option' to break the legislative filibuster before September 2025?
19% chance
If Republicans take the US Senate in 2024, will they abolish the filibuster?
25% chance