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If Conservatives win the 2024 UK election, what will average GDP/capita (PPP) growth over the next four years be?
4
Ṁ440Ṁ78
resolved Jul 6
ResolvedN/A
6%
< 0%
6%
0% - 0.3%
6%
0.3% - 0.6%
13%
0.6% - 0.9%
18%
0.9% - 1.2%
11%
1.2% - 1.5%
6%
1.5% - 1.8%
7%
1.8% - 2.1%
6%
2.1% - 2.4%
6%
2.4% - 2.7%
6%
2.7% - 3.0%
6%
> 3.0%

Resolves according to the World Bank. Average will be taken as [(GDP per Capita PPP in 2028)/(GDP per Capita PPP in 2024)]^(1/4).

Corresponding market for a Labour victory:

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