Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
How many North Korean defectors will there be in 2026?
4
Ṁ250Ṁ929
2027
329 defectors
expected
93%
Above 50
87%
Above 100
83%
Above 150
66%
Above 200
34%
Above 250
11%
Above 500
4%
Above 1,000
2%
Above 1,500
2%
Above 2,000
1.9%
Above 2,500

Resolves according to https://unikorea.go.kr/web/eng_unikorea/contents/statistics_defectors, or the corresponding page if this is moved.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Arn't those tables (total row, total column) saying 34 thousand so far?

@AlanTennant 34k over all years, but this market is just the number for 2026 (excluding previous and future years)

@Tetraspace what's the average for this year so far?