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MANIFOLD
How many North Korean defectors will there be in 2026?
5
Ṁ250Ṁ1.4k
2027
213 defectors
expected
93%
Above 50
87%
Above 100
83%
Above 150
30%
Above 200
8%
Above 250
3%
Above 500
1.2%
Above 1,000
1.1%
Above 1,500
1%
Above 2,000
1%
Above 2,500

Resolves according to https://unikorea.go.kr/web/eng_unikorea/contents/statistics_defectors, or the corresponding page if this is moved.

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Arn't those tables (total row, total column) saying 34 thousand so far?

@AlanTennant 34k over all years, but this market is just the number for 2026 (excluding previous and future years)

@Tetraspace what's the average for this year so far?