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MANIFOLD
Did the next permanent CEO of OpenAI sign the FLI Pause letter?
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resolved Nov 23
Resolved
NO

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Sam is back? I'll give it a bit of time to settle down.

Emmett Shear is not a signatory, therefore this should be resolved as NO

predictedYES

@machine He's not a permanent CEO either, so this shouldn't resolve yet

predictedNO

Emmett Shear is not a signatory

predictedNO

If Altman returns, does he count as the next permanent CEO or does the person after him count as the next permanent CEO? I don't understand the YES bets if it's the former.

predictedYES

@StevenK He counts as the next CEO. Yes bets were originally tracking Mira staying, though it looks like they haven't updated

@Tetraspace Mira didn't sign it either

@StevenK I'm not sure any plausible candidate signed it

predictedYES

@StevenK Oops, was mixing it up with the Center for AI Safety's Statement on AI Risk

predictedNO

@StevenK When does the new CEO have to have signed it? Before market creation or before becoming the new CEO?

@StevenK Before becoming the new CEO