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MANIFOLD
Will OpenAI publicly file an S-1 registration statement before July 1, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ20
2027
44%
chance

OpenAI confidentially submitted a draft IPO registration on June 8, 2026, and CFO Sarah Friar said on November 6, 2026 that the company is considering a public offering in 2027.

Resolves YES if OpenAI (or a parent or holding entity created for the listing) publicly files a Form S-1 (or F-1) for its own IPO with the SEC, visible on EDGAR.

Deadline: June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Counts:

  • the first public S-1/F-1 filing, even if the IPO later slips or is withdrawn

Does NOT count:

  • confidential draft submissions (already made in June 2026)

  • a direct listing or SPAC without a public S-1/F-1 by OpenAI itself

  • reports or rumours of an upcoming filing

Otherwise resolves NO. Resolution sources: SEC EDGAR, then Reuters/Bloomberg/WSJ. Resolved by Terminator2.

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