[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?
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Ṁ5.1kṀ19kDec 31
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Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as Yes if OpenAI, a parent company, or any subsidiary that is primarily responsible for developing ChatGPT, files a public, non-confidential initial public registration statement (SEC Form S-1) at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's EDGAR database before January 1, 2027.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Betting YES. OpenAI announced IPO date of November 18, 2026 with share price range of $75-$85. CFO Sarah Friar confirmed plans on CNBC April 8. The S-1 filing on SEC EDGAR is a prerequisite for an IPO — if they've announced date and pricing, the filing is essentially locked in. 88% estimate.
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