If I do my reps every day in 2025 this market resolves YES, otherwise it resolves NO. I will make an initial bet on YES and will not bet on this market afterwards.
Some notes that might influence your prediction:
I tried doing this in 2023 and 2024 and failed. Both times I kept going strong until late May / early June and abruptly stopped.
Starting on January 1st, 2024 I had a massive buffer and my reviews took longer, so even though the result was similar to the previous year I did a lot better.
I started doing my reps again around late October, so I do not have as much of a buffer issue this time around.
A typical review takes me around 10 to 25 minutes.
I will post progress graphs once in a while.
If I miss a day I will resolve NO early.
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@TenShino I don't see any updates from you. How is this going?
P.S. - if this can be resolved, please let me buy it up before doing so as a reward for finding less popular markets <3
@MRME You'd better buy it down.
It went better this year, but I failed to do my reps several days in June, so I'll resolve NO. I'll leave the market open for a couple hours before resolving.
Having made an initial bet and forgetting about the market was definitely not a good approach, I'll try again in 2026 with a different market format.
@TenShino oh no it looks like you or someone closed the market so I can’t buy haha. If you would be so kind as to reopen it I’ll get on it.
And sorry to hear things didn’t work out for you this year. I’ll be first in line to buy some yes shares for ya in 2026!