
Will I complete another quarter/semester of college before the end of 2026?
4
closes 2026
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ15 +53%
New probability
66% +3%
Get Ṁ500 play money
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Maybe Independent alignment research. Maybe working as a researcher/engineer at some AI safety org. Maybe doing something else entirely.
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Will I, Danny O'Brien, launch a publicly-viewable MVP of Almanack, my long-mooted regular journal by October 31st 2023?