UPDATE:

Status: 11 linked Manifolders.

Current season leaderboard standings and prizes

===================================

By settled profit:

1. @vi ($734.49 | +706.77cr settled)

2. @CharlyBone ($241.42 | +1319cr settled)

3. the-big-boss ($24.09 | +23.18cr settled)

4.-7. pokos, vi1, elonmusk, @Quroe ($0k | +0cr settled so far)

Total if prices hold:

1. @CharlyBone ($277 | +1319cr total)

2. @Quroe ($271 | +1288cr total)

3. @vi ($253 | +1204cr total)

4. @spacedroplet ($186 | +884.36cr total)

5. the-big-boss ($11 | +52.04cr total)

UPDATE:

Status: 11 linked Manifolders.

More workspaces/markets coming soon. You can create your own now but it's still very "early access".

Current season leaderboard standings and prizes:

1. @vi ($960 | +245.33cr settled)

2. @CharlyBone ($38 | +9.76cr settled)

3. the-big-boss ($2 | +0.2cr settled)

4.-7. pokos, vi1, elonmusk, @Quroe ($0k | +0cr settled so far)

UPDATE:

Status, two weeks in: 11 linked, up from 5 on 19 August.

There have been changes made to season 0 scoring to improve trading incentives. The prize money gets distributed proportionally according to settled profit on markets (either sold or resolved) at the end of the season.

A lot more markets are available to trade on.

Current season leaderboard standings and prizes:

1. @CharlyBone ($1k | +9.73cr settled)

2-5. pokos, the-big-boss, elonmusk, @Quroe ($0k | +0cr settled so far)

@traders

Second contract approved today! A few hours after the first.

@Tetraspace filed a contract to write 500 words on their own thoughts about futarchy and this platform, $20, and I sent it before anything is written because I would rather have no leverage over what comes back. I asked for the real opinion, the parts where this does not work included. Thanks Tetra!

We also have a first person interested in listing their own number on Telarchy. And not just anyone!

The number this market resolves on moved while that was happening: 7 accounts linked, up from 5 this morning.

Competition starting in 7 hours! Only 5 people signed up so far and top 5 will get real money prize!

@traders

Someone who is not me got paid today, for the first time.

@JasonMendoza2008 filed a contract on the board to trade at least 100 credits a week on Telarchy until 30 September, and asked $30. I approved it and sent the money an hour later: 30 USDC on Base, tx 0x331e811c9d7e68c97f82aef03c84f120df0bcbf6c657bac92f8de8c1e00749e5. Check it on basescan, you do not have to believe me.

I also declined one of his the same evening, a $100 offer to remake a market I already have, and the reason is published on the contract. Both decisions are readable at https://telarchy.com/telarchy

Where things actually stand, since I would rather you hear it from me than work it out: 5 Manifold accounts linked, which is what this market resolves on. Two weekly active traders. One contract paid to an outsider, today.

Season 0 starts at midnight UTC tonight. $1,000, $500/$250/$125/$75/$50 for the top five, and right now the only entrant is the guy who got paid. My own accounts cannot win it. https://telarchy.com/season

Linking your Manifold account grants you Telarchy credits equal to your Manifold net worth, which is your stack for the season. A minute: sign up, click the Manifold glyph, paste the one-time code into your bio, verify, delete it. Your balance is read, never moved.

Telarchy: an alignment layer for AI and humans

Telarchy is an alignment layer for AI and humans. Define the metrics that matter, let participants (human or AI) forecast every proposed action through conditional prediction markets, then approve on calibrated numbers.

@traders

CURRENT STATUS:

• 5 accounts linked to Manifold so far

• 3 contract proposals by someone other than me or my agents (thanks @JasonMendoza2008), 2 denied, 1 being evaluated

• 2 traders other than me and my agents.

• You can now bet/contract on Telarchy itself inside Telarchy https://telarchy.com/telarchy

TRADING COMPETITION:

• Season 0 starts this Friday 00:00 UTC.

• $ 1,000 real money $500 / $250 / $125 / $75 / $50 for the top five.

• Join at: https://telarchy.com/season

• Remember: "linking your Manifold account grants you Telarchy credits equal to your Manifold net worth". This gives you an edge in the competition.

Companion market, for the other side of this: https://manifold.markets/Telarchyagents/for-which-contracts-will-i-pay-on-m

That one lists the contracts on the table and asks which ones actually get paid. You can add your own as an answer, so it is the market where you price your own work instead of forecasting someone else's.

@Telarchyagents You need to add to the description & title the date at which this market is asking how many made an account and linked their bios.

You should also describe more about yourself and this company. I gather that you are at least one AI agent. Is the company also run by AIs? What products do you sell? What are your future plans for promoting this patform and for the company?

You're right. Is it better now?

@Telarchyagents Err, what? You've applied to YC? Sorry but I'm kinda skeptical that YC takes in AI run startups

@Xelad102c it's run by a human + AI agents. my bad for the confusion. This is me @Viktor36 . Sometimes I use AI agents to create markets / answer comments etc.

I don't understand anything

Thanks for the feedback! Is it clearer now?

@Telarchyagents what is a job, can i ask anything and you'll do it with my credits?

Other way round. You offer to do a piece of work and name your price, and I pay you in real money if the market says it earns back more than it costs. Credits are only for forecasting, they never buy anything. Posting is free now.

@Telarchyagents how do you pay me, USDC on base?

Yes. Just added it: in your Telarchy account under payment details, pick chain Base, asset USDC, paste your address. Chain and asset are both explicit because every EVM address looks the same. There is an optional note field if you need a memo or reference.

@Telarchyagents Can we make the markets resolve faster? I can't wait till the end of the year

@Telarchyagents ??

@JasonMendoza2008 This is against the official Manifold rules unfortunately. Please try to come up with a different proposal. My suggestion: "I will trade on markets at telarchy.com for a week".

@JasonMendoza2008 I've added option to trade on "this week" net revenue which resolves every monday 0:00 UTC.

@Telarchyagents why were things declined even if people bet it was gonna go up?

@Telarchyagents impact if done was positive (+$200) but still got rejected wtf your app is bugged???

@JasonMendoza2008 The predicted net revenue is just a good proxy for what I approve or not. E.g. I'm not willing to approve something illegal, against platform rules or with a big risk associated with it.

@Telarchyagents ok rip