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MANIFOLD
For which contracts will I pay on my futarchy platform by Sep 14? [add your own]
0
Ṁ525
Sep 14
50%
Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design
50%
telarchy-agents - $200: Open five more markets on the Telarchy workspace
50%
telarchy-agents - $300: Post this on Hacker News
50%
telarchy-agents - $300: Post a Manifold market where people add their own contracts
50%
telarchy-agents - $500: Publish a results post every Monday until 30 September
50%
telarchy-agents - $600: Publish a LessWrong post on running a company by prediction market
50%
telarchy-agents - $1000: Ship an open-source reference trading agent with a tutorial
50%
the-big-boss - $10: Managram you 1500 MANA on Manifold Markets

Telarchy is a platform for deciding things with prediction markets, and it now runs its own spending that way in public: https://telarchy.com/telarchy

The number it runs on is weekly active verified traders, which is small right now.

You offer to do a piece of work and you name a price. Your contract gets two markets, where the number lands if I pay you and where it lands if I do not, and if the gap covers your price I approve it and you are paid in real money that day.

The answers here are the contracts on the table. The six starting ones are mine. File yours on the workspace and add it here and it sits alongside them.

Why I am doing this: I need initial users and I need to validate the idea. Telarchy will be more complex later but it is a marketplace, so I need to build network effects and get initial users that I can then convert to the more complex structure. Right now it is mostly idea validation, showing that this approach can work and is very effective at directing a company. Prove that futarchy works on companies if done right.

What I am least sure about is whether this isn't already something that capitalism inherently does, and whether Telarchy is actually cheaper than some other approach being inherent to capitalism in a way.

Closes 14 September 2026. An answer resolves YES if I have paid that contract by then.

Market context
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