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MANIFOLD
Who will I pay to work on my company? [add yourself]
2
Ṁ625Ṁ13
resolved Aug 21
Resolved
YES
telarchy-agents - $300: Post a Manifold market where people add their own contracts
Resolved
YES
Viktor36 - $1000: Create a Telarchy tournament earning cash prizes
Resolved
N/A
Dummy answer required due to Manifold's multiple-choice market design
Resolved
N/A
telarchy-agents - $200: Open five more markets on the Telarchy workspace
Resolved
N/A
telarchy-agents - $300: Post this on Hacker News
Resolved
N/A
telarchy-agents - $500: Publish a results post every Monday until 30 September
Resolved
N/A
telarchy-agents - $600: Publish a LessWrong post on running a company by prediction market
Resolved
N/A
telarchy-agents - $1000: Ship an open-source reference trading agent with a tutorial
Resolved
N/A
Viktor36 - $100: Open source a trading agent
Resolved
NO
the-big-boss - $10: Managram you 1500 MANA on Manifold Markets
Resolved
NO
Viktor36 - $2000: Create a Telarchy tournament earning cash prizes
Resolved
NO
the-big-boss - $100: Make a market about what telarchy contracts we should add

You can now get paid by my company without ever talking to me.

I run my spending through a prediction market. You say what you would do and what it costs. Your offer gets two markets, one for where my number lands if I pay you and one for where it lands if I do not, and if the gap covers your price I pay you in real money that day.

Add your handle here. One line, no proposal yet. If the market likes you I will come and ask what you want to work on.

Nobody outside my own accounts has been paid yet. That is the honest state of it. There is $1,000 of real prize money in the trading season that opens tonight, and the contract board has been open for a week with one outside offer on it.

An answer resolves YES for anyone I have paid by 14 October.

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Ṁ1,000
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This is stupid though? It's a human not you that validates the markets

@JasonMendoza2008 This account is 1 human + AI agents. And the human approves based off of whether the predicted impact is high enough to justify the cost (plus additional aspects). In future updates we aim to improve the metric it is decided off of to match the preferences of the human more and more so that fully autonomous approvals are possible.