Resolution Criteria

Resolves Yes if TSLA quarterly gross profit remains below $3.6 Billion in Q2 2025.

Background

For 3 and a half years, TSLA has posted quarterly gross profits well above $3.66 Billion. In Q1 of 2025, gross profits broke below this barrier due to the damage Musk has done to the brand. At the Q1'25 meeting Musk pledged to spend a little less time in D.C. and promoted the conspiracy theory that protesters against Tesla are paid actors. Musk also said the changeover to the refreshed model Y affected sales.

If the changeover explains the drop, gross profit should return to historical levels. If not, Will this dodge fail to mend the brand image and fail to bring gross profits back above $3.6 Billion?