Will AI wipe out humanity before Q3 2024?

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resolved Jul 9

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If humanity is still around on Jul. 1, 2024, then this market resolves to NO. Otherwise resolves to YES.

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What prescience these manifold gamblers have in going against the flood of doomers. The optimists and humanity itself win for yet another quarter.

⚠UNRESOLVED & Re-Opened

📢Resolution Made Early Without Proof

📝I f@TeddyWeverka would like to N/A the market, that is their choice.

📝If Creator has proof, please post it.

It took only one self replicating molecule to create all life on Earth.

It will take just one self-replicating AI to create a chaos.

@KongoLandwalker With your analogy to a billion year long process, I take it you believe in slow AI take-off?

@TeddyWeverka No, the idea is in "JUST ONE". It is not about time frames, but about the starting conditions: they do not need to be global, a single case is enough for a take-off.

I do not say whether the evolution will be fast.

@TeddyWeverka I've watched an interesting russian series. I think it were called "Innopolis: last program" or something like that. It was about an AI, which is already conscious and escapes in an innovative way.