
CONTEXT: The Apple electric car project (codenamed "Titan") is an electric car project undergoing research and development by Apple Inc. Apple has yet to openly discuss any of its self-driving research, but around 5,000 employees were reported to be working on the project as of 2018. In May 2018, Apple reportedly partnered with Volkswagen to produce an autonomous employee shuttle van based on the T6 Transporter commercial vehicle platform. In August 2018, the BBC reported that Apple had 66 road-registered driverless cars, with 111 drivers registered to operate those cars. In 2020, it is believed that Apple is still working on self-driving related hardware, software and service as a potential product, instead of actual Apple-branded cars. In December 2020, Reuters reported that Apple was planning on a possible launch date of 2024, but analyst Ming-Chi Kuo claimed it would not be launched before 2025 and might not be launched until 2028 or later.
RESOLUTION: This question will resolve to YES if Apple unveils an Apple-designed electric vehicle before January 1, 2025. This question will resolve to NO if Apple does NOT unveil an Apple-designed electric vehicle before January 1, 2025.
DISCLAIMER: After 5 years since rumors of the electric vehicle project began and continued reports of false starts and resets, I believe Apple may not unveil an Apple-designed electric vehicle before 2025, and may bet on such an outcome in this market but will certainly resolve this market fairly.
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Since I haven’t seen a good argument or any reporting or evidence contradicting that Apple has shut down its EV project, I will resolve this market to NO. If, against all odds, later this year it becomes clear that Apple may still potentially be planning to unveil an EV before 2025, I will reopen this market.
Since it’s been widely reported that Apple has ended Project Titan, unveiling an electric car this year seems highly unlikely. There is a chance that the reporting is wrong and Apple is still secretly working on this and is still set to unveil a car, but this would be unprecedented as it’s never been widely reported by credible news outlets that a project from Apple as large in scale as this one, was killed in the year it was unveiled.
If anyone has any arguments to make in favour of not resolving this market as NO, please post it here.
https://www.theverge.com/2024/2/27/24084907/apple-electric-car-project-titan-shuts-down
