Background

Apple's first AR/VR headset, the Vision Pro, released in early 2024 at a price point of $3,499. While Apple typically updates its major product lines annually, the development cycle for AR/VR technology may follow a different timeline due to the complexity and novelty of the technology.

Current reports suggest Apple is working on two potential new headsets:

• A more affordable "Vision Pro Lite" version

• A second-generation Vision Pro

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if Apple officially announces a new AR/VR headset model before January 1, 2026. This includes:

• A new generation of the Vision Pro

• A lower-cost version of the Vision Pro

• Any other new AR/VR headset model

The market will resolve NO if no new AR/VR headset is announced by Apple before January 1, 2026.

Considerations

• Industry analysts currently predict the Vision Pro 2 won't arrive until late 2026, but have left open the possibility of other AR/VR releases

• Supply chain constraints and technological challenges could impact Apple's development timeline

• Apple has historically been willing to delay product launches until they meet their quality standards