Will Apple release another Vision product in 2025?
Will Apple release another Vision product in 2025?
54
1kṀ52602026
45%
chance
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Any headset or glasses like product counts regardless of naming convention.
Update 2025-03-26 (PST): - Official Release Date: The market resolves when the product is first available for purchase. (AI summary of creator comment)
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@JonathanMannhart This market resolves based on the official release date, which would be when the product is first available for purchase.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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