Will a nuclear device be used offensively before April 1, 2025?
Plus
36
Ṁ3934Mar 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any type of nuclear device or weapon qualifies as long as it is used offensively.
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated):
Any territory in the world qualifies
Nuclear tests do not qualify as offensive use
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@FabioFabbrifabione Yes, any territory qualifies. The device only needs to be used offensively. Nuclear tests would not qualify.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation in 2025?
2% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
48% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
11% chance
Will a nuclear detonation happen in space by the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2025? (Tests included)
12% chance
Will nuclear weapons be used on Earth before 2050?
39% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in 2025?
14% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be fired in anger before 2075?
44% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
15% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be used in a terrorist attack before 2035?
25% chance