Will a nuclear weapon be fired in anger before 2075?
6
42
170
2075
46%
chance

Resolves yes if a nuclear weapon is fired in anger before 23:59 GMT December 31 2074.

'Fired in anger' means intentionally fired on an enemy for the purpose of damaging them.

  • Does not include accidental firings.

  • Does include mutinous firings.

  • Does incude failed strikes (i.e. missile is intercepted/shot down/misses target or fails to detonate due to technical fault)

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