What changes will Denmark agree to before 1 July regarding its relationship with Greenland?
➕
Plus
17
Ṁ3096
Jul 2
25%
Greenland on a path to independence
0.9%
Greenland ceded or sold to the United States
3%
US receives partial rights to Greenland
4%
Other changes
66%
Denmark does not agree to changes before 1 July

The question is conditional on Denmark agreeing to change its relationship with Greenland before 1 July; if no agreement, question will resolve to "Denmark does not agree to changes before 1 July".

"Partial rights" includes US access to minerals and natural resources of Greenland.

"Other" includes all other changes not listed to Greenland's relationship with Denmark.

Changes do not need to have happen, only agreed to or promised by Denmark.

  • Update 2025-17-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:

    • A referendum itself would be irrelevant to the question.

    • The Danish parliament approving terms of secession before 1 July would lead the market to resolve "Greenland on a path to independence".

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@traders I edited the market question for clarity. If you are negatively affected then please message me directly and I'll send you mana as compensation.

@THJustin what was it before?

@THJustin partial rights implies “sovereign rights”, can’t be just “access” as “investment in mining”. If so, currently US has “partial rights” to sell products in Greenland beyond the “partial rights” of military bases and monitoring stations.

@GazDownright "If Denmark agrees before 1 July to make changes to its relationship with Greenland, which of the following will it be:"

@VNetChrome That's a good point. I'm interpreting this as additional rights to the US because the question states "What changes will Denmark agree to"

How do conditional agreements to do those things, eg. approval to hold a binding referendum, resolve? Does it resolve to the outcome of such a referendum, or does the referendum itself count as resolving this question to other changes? What if the referendum results are unavailable on 1 July 2025?

@puffymist You're right, the question was poorly constructed. I edited it for clarity.

@THJustin Thanks, though I still can't tell how this question would resolve in case of a referendum, especially if the referendum results are not yet available on 1 July 2025.

@puffymist A referendum itself would be irrelevant to the question. The Danish parliament approving terms of secession before 1 July would lead the market to resolve "Greenland on a path to independence"

@THJustin Thank you for the clarification.

@THJustin how is this an option in an 'if' question?

@TheWabiSabi You're right, the question was poorly constructed. I edited it for clarity.

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