Will Christine Lambrecht (german secretary of defence) be out of office before the next federal election?
Will Christine Lambrecht (german secretary of defence) be out of office before the next federal election?
14
270Ṁ6829resolved Jan 19
Resolved
YES1H
6H
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Will resolve NO, if Cristine Lambrecht is still in office when the 2025 federal election is over.
Will resolve YES, if Cristine Lambrecht is not in office anymore before the 2025 federal election.
Close date updated to 2023-01-19 10:11 am
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predictedYES 2y
She resigned, but still is the secretary, will wait to resolve this market.
https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/ruecktritt-lambrecht-101.html
@Svenbonne Boris Pistorius is new Secretary of defence
predictedYES 2y
@LudwigBald BILD is not the best source, bit not eben hrr PR speaker denies the rumours, so she might step back soon
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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