Will Karl Lauterbach (german secretary of health) be out of office before the next federal election?
35%
chance

Will resolve NO, if Karl Lauterbach is still in office when the 2025 federal election is over.

Will resolve YES, if Karl Lauterbach is not in office anymore before the 2025 federal election.

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kottsiek avatar
kottsiekis predicting NO at 37%

He had some Covid mishaps, but Covid will be out of the news soon. Legalising Cannabis will be his most talked about project, where he has both popular support and the support of all governing parties. All problems/delays with said project can be (justifiably or not) blamed on the EU, who will meddle with the law. If I am correct public opinion will increase.

PS avatar
PSis predicting YES at 39%
kottsiek avatar
kottsiekbought Ṁ10 of NO

Why is this so high?

Svenbonne avatar
Svenbonne

@kottsiek maybe because of critical opinions against Lauterbach in Germany

Svenbonne avatar
Svenbonne
Will Karl Lauterbach, german secretary of health from the social demokrats, be out of office?
enemel avatar
enemelis predicting NO at 72%

There are no federal elections in Germany in 2026. Maybe change the year in the description to 2025.

Svenbonne avatar
Svenbonne

@enemel my fault