Liberal Party leadership spill before next federal election?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ1302028
84%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if:
The Liberal Party of Australia conducts a spill for leadership of the party
It is held before the next federal election, scheduled to be held around October 2028
Otherwise market will resolve to “No”.
Update 2026-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will only resolve after the spill is conducted, not when it is announced or scheduled. If and when a spill is conducted, the market will resolve Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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