Will hurricanes be common in California by 2035
9
Ṁ230Ṁ265Jan 1
17%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will california be hit by a hurricane before January 1rst 2028
10% chance
How many Hurricanes in 2026?
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
25% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
20% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?
11% chance
Will California be in a drought at end of August 2027?
26% chance
Will California exist in 2028?
96% chance
Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?
28% chance
Will 10% of San Francisco die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
3% chance
Sort by:
@SusanDuenas Every year between now and 2035? Just one or two in 2034? Something in between?
What counts as "in" California? See this discussions for examples that might be relevant:
/mark1263/will-california-be-hit-by-a-hurrica
People are also trading
Related questions
Will california be hit by a hurricane before January 1rst 2028
10% chance
How many Hurricanes in 2026?
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
25% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
20% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?
11% chance
Will California be in a drought at end of August 2027?
26% chance
Will California exist in 2028?
96% chance
Will a hurricane be designated "Category 6" on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale by the NHC by the end of 2030?
28% chance
Will 10% of San Francisco die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
3% chance