Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 1/1/2025 be higher than the 2 year treasury yield (non-inverted yield curve)?
Basic
15
Ṁ11kJan 1
91%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently the treasury yield curve is inverted, meaning short term interest rates are higher than long term, which is not normal.
This question explores if that will be the case going forward.
Using the closing price on Jan 1st, 2025 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y
If the 10 year yield is higher than the 2 year yield, this market resolves as YES
Otherwise it resolves to NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2024 be 4% or higher?
95% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2024 be 3.5% or higher?
96% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2024 be 3% or higher?
96% chance
Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?
75% chance
What will be the highest treasury 10 year yield this year?
63% chance
Will the 30 year US Treasury Bond return more than the S&P 500 in 2024 in percentage terms?
Will the US Fed Funds rate in 10 years be higher than 4%?
42% chance
Lowest 30 year treasury yield during 2023-2049?
Will the US Treasury Series I Bond fixed rate go up?
48% chance
Will long call options for federal funds rate > 10% **in 5 years** be priced higher in EOY 2025 than 2024?
50% chance