Will any U.S. State have more than 50,000 customers without power on or before 12/31/2024?
Plus
4
Ṁ240Jan 1
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is AFTER the Oklahoma Tornadoes on the 2nd and the Washington State wind on the 4th of Nov.
Applies only to the 50 U.S. States - not any territories.
I will attempt to check https://poweroutage.us/ at least once per day (or much more often) and this will resolve to Yes if any state is orange - meaning 50k+ customers without power. I will be the sole person checking for resolution so it is possible that an extremely transient event will be missed. I will not resolve based on others noting in the comments that it has occurred but if I notice the comment I will check and resolve if the condition still exists. I will also see if following on FB or twitter helps and may enlist others in my circle to make it more likely I notice.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any state have more than 100,000 customers without power (red on US Power Outage Map) before the end of 2024?
53% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
35% chance
Will any US state fail to certify the election and submit a slate of electors before Jan/1/2025?
31% chance
Will there be any one transmission line outage that causes over one million Americans to not have electricity in 2024?
72% chance
Will any major US city have a blackout of at least a day before 2025?
83% chance
Will there be a new US State by 2055?
44% chance
Will there be 51 or more U.S. states by the 2024 Presidential Election?
1% chance
Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?
47% chance
Will US installed grid battery capacity exceed 31.1 GW by the end of 2024?
71% chance
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?
27% chance