
Will there be any one transmission line outage that causes over one million Americans to not have electricity in 2024?
4
90Ṁ253resolved Jan 13
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Outage must occur for over 8 hours. One million customers must be put out of service due to a transmission-related problem (generation issues do not count). United States only.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ10 | |
2 | Ṁ5 | |
3 | Ṁ4 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the 2025 European power outage be attributed to sabotage by May 25, 2025?
8% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 1,000,000 customers without power in 2025 again (after mid Jan power outages)?
74% chance
Will the United States have more than 1,000,000 households without power before the end of 2025 (starting April 30th)?
86% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 2,000,000 customers without power in 2025?
40% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
36% chance
Will the United States have more than 2,500,000 households without power before the end of 2025?
74% chance
Will there be at least one major U.S. blackout caused by a cyberattack by 2027?
32% chance
Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?
4% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 24 hours occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 1 hour occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance