Will there be any one transmission line outage that causes over one million Americans to not have electricity in 2024?
4
90Ṁ253resolved Jan 13
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Outage must occur for over 8 hours. One million customers must be put out of service due to a transmission-related problem (generation issues do not count). United States only.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ10 | |
| 2 | Ṁ5 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any U.S. State have more than 1,000,000 customers without power in 2025 again (after mid Jan power outages)?
72% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 2,000,000 customers without power in 2025?
49% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
36% chance
Will the United States have more than 600,000 households without power again before the end of 2025?
90% chance
Will any U.S. State have more than 500,000 customers without power in 2025?
84% chance
Will the United States have more than 2,500,000 households without power before the end of 2025?
67% chance
Will a solar storm cause a >24-hour internet outage in any top 10 populous city by 2025 end?
4% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 24 hours occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 1 hour occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will a global* internet outage lasting more than 5 minutes occur by the end of 2025?
5% chance