Will this market close between 89% and 91%?
41
41
Ṁ810
resolved Apr 20
Resolved
NO

Yes if the price is within that range upon market close.

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please resolve

bought Ṁ20 of NO

It did not close between those.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

42 minutes

Pampu.

Yes yes yes

bought Ṁ200 of YES

Pool 69 YES, 1481 NO

Nice

bought Ṁ16 of NO

Action?!

only 3.5k to get to 89% and win a bunch of mana yall

predicted NO

I assume 89% is good enough, i.e. the range is inclusive right ?

predicted YES

Yes, inclusive

predicted YES

NO is scared money, let's go

predicted YES

Between is inclusive

predicted YES

It would cost 317 mana to get this to 87% right now.

predicted YES

@StrayClimb 89%*

predicted NO

some variations on this theme:

https://manifold.markets/ms_test/will-this-market-be-in-the-interval-7ff144f5b1e6

https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-this-market-be-in-the-interval

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-this-markets-probability-be-at

https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/will-this-market-be-above-52-when-i

predicted YES

Hmm thinking about this now, most of the action might happen in the very last few seconds. That's not ideal. I'd like to come up with a better system for this kind of price war markets. Maybe something like having multiple rounds of competition? Does anyone have pointers to similar / working things in the past?

predicted YES

What would happen if people make huge buy/sell walls at 89/91?

bought Ṁ10 of YES
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