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Donated M$10,000 (as $100) to MIRI

@ms_test I'm glad you won the other market

Can we have a redemption market?

I created https://manifold.markets/ms_test/will-this-market-be-in-the-interval-7ff144f5b1e6

It should be more fun

Mikhail has the biggest number, but I think the real champion is @Homer winning his 3rd gamble market in a row from humble beginnings without ever buying any more.

Does not micromanage his position or even worry, just slams all his mana onto a team and whales spontaneously form around him every time when he's not even paying attention to make him win.

@Mira I think the two of you moved the market much closer to what it would've looked like with real money; I was lucky it wasn't close enough (I would've made much less then).

I'm still pretty happy about the number, though!

test

N/A is the right way to resolve this

@Simon1551 You think N/A is the correct way to resolve?

@levifinkelstein Nah give them the dub lol

@Simon1551 I was actually counting on @Zorn and @JonathanRay to sell some shares but looks like they went +10k just for the lols

@Simon1551 that wouldn't work. I'd sell Yes at 71+% until a few API ticks before close and at 70% near the close; either I'd had no more Yes to sell (and then I'd buy No until it's at 71% and support the 71% point) or they had no more No shares, and I'd still win unless you sold as well. This is a zero-sum market with equilibria around 70-71%

@ms_test I don't know as soon as I saw that no one else was sell I tried to sell but I guess there was really a response time until it counted because nothing happened

@ms_test When does the API actually close?

@ForrestTaylor it's the same as with clicks. I just measure the API response time and the code makes some decisions based on it

22073 in profit. I thought I'd make around 2.8% in profits because people understand the mechanics of this market, but no!

@ms_test god bless

I want to thank me, myself, me, and me.

NO didn't even unwind their positions??

@Mira i believed in the fuckery

@Mira I got distracted by texts!

I thought you'all will sell your Nos at 70% until I had no more Yes left

@ms_test That's what I was expecting too. I started selling mine, but then I started to doubt myself and thought "what if somebody buys it down to 19%?" And then I lost track of the seconds.

At least I was only in it for small amounts in the end.