Will this market be above 52% when it closes?
96
141
1.9K
resolved Apr 12
Resolved
NO

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@CalebDitchfield If you want a cheap way to get back at Isaac, buy a NO share here: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-the-whales-win-this-market?r=TWlyYQ

predicted YES

@Mira done :)

bought Ṁ309 of NO

Oof that was scary

predicted NO

my timing was off by like 3 seconds lol

predicted YES

probably gonna just delete my account now fuck

predicted NO

@CalebDitchfield I've lost large quantities twice in similar markets in the past. I was pretty frustrated with myself for a few days afterwards, and the first time I quit manifold for a while, but I eventually got over it and got back to enjoying the platform.

predicted NO
predicted YES

@IsaacKing appreciate it. clearly my fault, just got too optimistic about my chances and didn't code in a check for limit orders placed after the script started but before it placed the bet. lesson learned I guess lol

@CalebDitchfield btw does this count as intention to quit platform on that other market of yours @IsaacKing ? The one about people quitting or rage quitting after losing large bets

predicted NO
predicted YES

not actually quitting nor did I actually have intention of doing so, that was just my initial raging 😅

predicted YES

oh but I guess I did threaten to. nice

predicted NO

For context, I think Manifold should probably take steps to prevent this sort of thing from happening too frequently, and I've been collecting examples of why. See also /IsaacKing/will-manifold-ban-or-restrict-whale and /IsaacKing/by-2024-will-anyone-blame-manifold

bought Ṁ47,260 of YES

fuck me for changing my script from 10 seconds to 5 seconds before close

predicted NO

@CalebDitchfield Would that have helped?

predicted YES

@IsaacKing Ah. Nope. Gd

bought Ṁ0 of NO

Sorry Caleb.

bought Ṁ3,900 of NO

My god that was scary :D

bought Ṁ6,000 of NO
bought Ṁ4,000 of NO

@VictorLi I almost had a heart attack

bought Ṁ0 of NO

Someone who isnt Isaac picket a fight with Isaac on a purely capital based market 🤣

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@AlexRockwell lets see if anyone is based enough

predicted YES

@VictorLi there has to be

predicted NO

@galen rematch time?

bought Ṁ618 of NO

@VictorLi

i dont know about that one chief

predicted NO

@8 💀💀💀

predicted YES

@8 surely he'll buy a few hundred dollars worth of mana right?

predicted NO

@CP isaac has questionable financial decisions so he basically never loses

predicted YES

@8 lmfao