Will this market be in the interval [1-48] OR [95-99] when the question closes on January 24th?
46
960Ṁ33k
resolved Jan 24
Resolved
YES

Yes if "chance" is between 1% and 48% OR 95% and 99% including endpoints.

No if the chance is less than 1%, between 49% and 94%, or more than 99%.

Inspired by https://manifold.markets/levifinkelstein/will-this-market-be-in-the-interval and https://www.metaculus.com/questions/4808/will-the-median-prediction-on-this-question-fall-in-range-1-48-or-95-99/.

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