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https://www.manifestconference.net/speakers

@june

hmm the HTML title of that page is "speakers" but the in-page title is "Guests"

This is literally as corner case as you can get. I think this is close enough to consider him a "speaker" - I mean, he's listed on the "speakers" page by title+URL. This would mean that he would not count, and we have no other nominees. I think this is fair, and would result in a NO resolution.

As of now, I do not feel this is an unexpected resolution:

• only one nominee

• but he's listed on the official speakers page, so doesn't count per "who is not an official speaker"

• this leaves no nominees for 100k+ follower twitter user

• which means claim should resolve NO

any arguments against this? Otherwise I will resolve NO tomorrow. Thanks.

@Shump thoughts?

@Ernie Sounds reasonable

@Ernie

Kevin Roose was the Journalist. He has 171k followers

@Shump He’s why I asked my below clarifying question. I read the spirit of this market as being about whether someone with 100k would show up unannounced, and Kevin Roose was listed on the website as a special guest on the Speakers page. But if the question was intended to be about actually giving a speech, I believe he did not (not positive.)

https://www.manifestconference.net/speakers

If someone is listed as a "Special Guest" on the Speakers tab of the website but did not give a talk, are they an official speaker?

Reopening so people can bet/comment more until we have a clear consensus (either by price or by comment which resolves it)

I saw Scott Alexander - but was he an official speaker?

Not sure what your criteria is for official speaker but he’s listed on the Main Events schedule as the first name on the Sunday Sept 24 4pm talk

name some names?

@StrayClimb There was that NYT reporter? Though I don’t remember their name.

If only I could remember the lineup for Aella’s “line up by follow count” poll question.