A major hollywood movie about Covid comes out portraying the CCP negatively before 2035
closes 2035

To qualify for a yes, the movie should portray negative actions the CCP took during the Covid crisis.

It should be at least partly fictionalized and not a documentary.

It should have a budget of at least 100m USD and be released before jan 1 2035

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RobertCousineau avatar
Robert Cousineaubought Ṁ70 of NO

Is 100m USD inflation adjusted?

StrayClimb avatar
Reynoldsis predicting NO at 58%

@RobertCousineau no it's absolute money

StrayClimb avatar
Reynoldsbought Ṁ10 of NO

I don't understand it because a menacing CCP is an amazing villain. But Hollywood is too in bed with them to actually do it apparently. So I'm voting no for emotional arbitrage

NicholasKross avatar
Nicholas Kross

The Big Short had a budget of 50 million USD, according to google. It's not clear why a movie about COVID, even if at least partly fictionalized, would cost more than that movie (which had many stars).

StrayClimb avatar

@NicholasKross In writing the claim I was thinking something big, like a top thriller. You have a point that there is another type of market that could be made, but that's not what this one covers.

StrayClimb avatar


I'm going to keep creating variants of the market until I figure out what's going on.

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