Will any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?
3
1kṀ5652040
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Fairly flexible:
from either of Trump's terms
Senate-confirmed cabinet member
acting cabinet member
in a US court
in the ICC
in a foreign court of competent authority
But must be:
someone identifiable as a "cabinet" member; VP, presidential-appointed close advisor, department head, etc.
an enforceable conviction; not symbolic
Bonus points if it actually cites international law or treaties such as the Geneva Conventions, but a clear corollary national law would suffice.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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