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MANIFOLD
Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP?
31
Ṁ1kṀ4.6k
2050
7%
chance

Potential Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)

I suppose they don't have to be strictly a "former" pornstar. They could still be active, but they had to have also done the work prior to becoming President. Though I admit that'd be quite odd and much less expected than someone who had retired from that work.

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If it came out that a former or current president was an actor in the past, how would this resolve?

@DanzoAlerantos if they were moderately prolific, I suppose I'd resolve YES. ideally it's a big enough deal in their professional history that it's pretty obvious and doesn't hide from scrutiny in the nomination process, but it's true things were easier to hide and perhaps more verboten and so needed to be hidden in the past

bought Ṁ50 NO

Amateur/signed to a studio?

@overflow I don't think with the changing industry as it is today (OF, etc.) we should only count traditional studio pornography (like saying "if they aren't on VHS at local adult video stores they don't count!"). that seems counterproductive. but "star" should be relevant here I think. professional for sure; being in a single leaked home video wouldn't do. the line is somewhere in there but I'm not sure where

ideas?

@Stralor I guess if they're vocal about it being a core part of their identity/it provides a huge portion of their income

@overflow yeah that would be a good indicator!

bought Ṁ250 NO

Hilarious. Are there any plausible candidates on anybody’s radar?

@MachiNi no idea! surely someone has gotten into politics