Which Merch Shop designs will be the best sellers EOY?

Question

Counting number of purchases:

#1 resolves YES

#2 resolves 80%

#3 resolves 50%

All others resolve NO

The stats page shows ~monthly details. We may have to ask the API or the staff for final yearly totals. (On the stats page, select the Purchases tab -> scroll down to Merch)

Variations (such as colors) and form factor (such as shirts + caps) of each design will be aggregated. Only purchases tracked on that stats page onsite count, regardless of currency.

Will add more designs as they are added to the shop.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Anti-Gambling Gambling Club, followed by Manifold Logo and Manifold Wordmark are most likely. See the market for live updates (3 traders, as of Apr 23, 2026).

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