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MANIFOLD
How much above (or below) baseline will Merch sales move due to Manifest?
5
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k
resolved Jun 19
100%7%
-50%
4%
+200%
10%
+100%
15%
+50%
21%
+20%
26%
Baseline-ish
14%
-20%
4%
-80%

(Visible on the stats page. Select the Purchases tab -> scroll down to Merch)

Threshold buckets, by distance from 0 (no change). e.g. at 19% more revenue, resolves Baseline-ish, but just 1% more at 20% extra revenue resolves +20%, while 65% less revenue resolves -50%, and so forth.

Event dates: Jun 12 to 14th, 2026, plus Jun 15th's numbers

Will compare the baseline daily average Mana revenue before Manifest (~1 month of data will be visible to compare, somebody please remind me to check it) to the daily average during the event window (+1 day for inspired folks traveling home)

Closes on the last day of Manifest

  • Update 2026-06-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The baseline for comparison is 107,892 mana (total merch revenue over the last 30 days up to June 11, 2026), giving a daily average of ~3,596 mana/day.

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alright final numbers are in! only the 13th had any sales, amounting to 5,829 mana.

5829 / 4 = 1457.25

vs 3596.4 = 40.5% (59.5% less than normal)

Resolves -50%

I expected to be able to resolve today but I'm sorry to say there will be a delay. Looks like the stats page is only showing up to the 13th and we need thru the 15th. should be only a couple more days

looks like last 30 days (up to june 11) was 107,892 mana. there's our baseline we'll use to calculate