
What will happen with the recent lawsuits by major record labels against AI music startups?
11
1.2kṀ13402026
40%
Udio or Suno will shutdown services temporarily
32%
Udio or Suno will shutdown services permanently
79%
A lawsuit reaches a settlement
42%
A lawsuit reaches trial
52%
A lawsuit reaches judgment
26%
A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the defendant
34%
A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the plaintiff
37%
A lawsuit is dismissed
73%
Training data is leaked or disclosed publicly by the court
31%
A lawsuit expands to include Microsoft as a defendant
69%
Microsoft drops its partnership with Suno
20%
A Billboard Top-100 Artist testifies at trial
Some labels, including Sony, Universal, and Warner, have started lawsuits against Udio and Suno.
Here's the RIAA press release. It looks like they're managing the lawsuits for the plaintiffs.
All outcomes that happen resolve YES. Any outcomes that don't happen by the end of these lawsuits will resolve NO. We'll have to keep an eye on when that might be.
Notes (may add more here as clarifications are needed):
"Billboard Top-100 Artist" or "Billboard 100 Artist" is any musician presently on Billboard's list of top 100 musicians, whatever it's called at the time, at the time of trial
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will some U.S. musicians be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
48% chance
Will Spotify create a record label and release AI-generated songs by 2026?
27% chance
Will some U.S. artists be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
92% chance
Will an AI provider be sued due to the actions taken by their AI by the end of 2025?
57% chance
Will the legality of AI training on copyrighted works be settled by, and in favor of, the American Copyright Lobby, before 2026?
25% chance
Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?
64% chance
Will some U.S. lawyers be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
36% chance
will an AI Music Streaming site have annual revenue of $50M+ before 2027?
34% chance
Will AI Cause a 10x Surge in Lawsuits or Legal Industry GDP by 2033?
22% chance
Will any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2026 be composed by AI?
50% chance