What will happen with the recent lawsuits by major record labels against AI music startups?

AI Music Industry Lawsuits

Basic

Ṁ897

2026

ALL

69%

Udio or Suno will shutdown services temporarily

31%

Udio or Suno will shutdown services permanently

80%

A lawsuit reaches a settlement

20%

A lawsuit reaches trial

69%

A lawsuit reaches judgment

31%

A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the defendant

31%

A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the plaintiff

31%

A lawsuit is dismissed

80%

Training data is leaked or disclosed publicly by the court

31%

A lawsuit expands to include Microsoft as a defendant

69%

Microsoft drops its partnership with Suno

20%

A Billboard Top-100 Artist testifies at trial

Some labels, including Sony, Universal, and Warner, have started lawsuits against Udio and Suno.

Here's the RIAA press release. It looks like they're managing the lawsuits for the plaintiffs.

All outcomes that happen resolve YES. Any outcomes that don't happen by the end of these lawsuits will resolve NO. We'll have to keep an eye on when that might be.

Notes (may add more here as clarifications are needed):

"Billboard Top-100 Artist" or "Billboard 100 Artist" is any musician presently on Billboard's list of top 100 musicians, whatever it's called at the time, at the time of trial

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