Of the world's current highest ultra-wealthy, who will be the last standing?
13
1kṀ12562030
15%
Bernard Arnault
29%
Elon Musk
22%
Jeff Bezos
10%
Larry Ellison
5%
Warren Buffett
(Forbes used as source for this shortlist)
"Players" are eliminated if, after market creation 23 Feb 2024, they:
die
cease being a billionaire (no, becoming a trillionaire doesn't count)
become wheelchair-bound
or publicly fall down (must fall such that they are no longer supported by either foot, video proof required)
Last player standing wins and resolves YES. Others resolve NO as they are eliminated.
Close date may change as necessary.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?
Who will be among the top 5 richest person in the world at the end of 2025? (According to Forbes)
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2025?
Who will be the richest person in the world at the end of 2025? (Forbes)
Who will be among the top 5 richest person in the world at the end of 2026? (According to Forbes)
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Who will be the first trillionaire?
Who will be the richest living woman citizen of the USA at the end of 2025?
At the beginning of 2032, will the richest person in the world have a net worth of at least 1% of US GDP?
60% chance