Manifold Pivot Prop Bets
32
1.5kṀ11kresolved Oct 14
Resolved
YESPrize Points are removed / all converted to Mana
Resolved
YESMana is in a separate economy
Resolved
YESPayouts only available to US residents to start
Resolved
YESSports markets can't involve real money / prize points / etc
Resolved
YESAirdrop of new currency announced
Resolved
YESAn Above the Fold substack post about the pivot is posted within a week
Resolved
NO$10k mana bought or new real money currency deposited on any day w/in a week of release
Resolved
NOJames is the one to post the announcement in Discord
Resolved
NO"Twomba" or "SweepiesCoin" or "Sweepies" mentioned in announcement
Resolved
NOAnnouncement includes the word "Spice"
Resolved
NOThere is a pre-announcement at least a week beforehand with the details of what to expect
Resolved
NOThe announcement includes a video with any Manifold staff in it
Resolved
NO500+ new user signups on any day w/in a week of release
Resolved
NOThere is a currency is named "Mana Cash"
Resolved
NOPolitics markets can't involve real money / prize points / etc
These resolve according to the results and release announcement of the second stage of the Pivot, aka whenever real money gets activated or when it's decided that real money won't be activated, plus a up to a week for any announcement to trickle in over the various avenues.
For options about what the release announcement includes, all of the following qualify additively:
an email newsletter blast, if it happens
an on-site announcement page, if it exists
the discord announcement/update (almost certainly happens)
any pre-release announcement(s)
The announcement doesn't include:
clarifying comments and responses by staff
anything a mod says
Close date is speculative and subject to change.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ267 | |
| 2 | Ṁ154 | |
| 3 | Ṁ152 | |
| 4 | Ṁ126 | |
| 5 | Ṁ95 |