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MANIFOLD
Will Daniel publicly state that he is in a romantic relationship before January 1, 2027
1
Ṁ100Ṁ15
Dec 31
43%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Daniel Lord (known online as "Hiding In My Room" or "HIMR") publicly states, announces, or confirms that he is in a romantic relationship on or after the creation of this market and before January 1, 2027 (UTC). Otherwise, it resolves to NO.

  • Public statement: A statement is considered public if it is posted on a public social media account, shared in a public forum or community space (e.g., Discord, YouTube, Manifold, X/Twitter), or explicitly mentioned in public media.

  • Romantic relationship: The announcement must unambiguously refer to a real-world romantic partner (such as a boyfriend, girlfriend, or partner). Joke announcements, hypothetical discussions, or relationships with non-human entities (such as AI companions) do not count.

  • Verification: If the creator of this market is Daniel, they will resolve the market in good faith according to their real-world relationship status and public disclosures. If the creator is a third party, verifiable public evidence of Daniel's announcement must be provided.

Background

This market tracks whether Daniel will publicly announce or confirm that he is in a romantic relationship before the start of 2027. It provides a clear window for forecasting personal and relationship updates within the specified timeframe.

Market context
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