Coaches listed with their current teams and year hired (just as information). Previous tenure with their team is not taken into consideration. This is just a measure of which coach will be the last remaining with their current team as of now (question published Pre-Week 10 of 2023 NFL Season).
There are currently 32 NFL head coaches, one for each of the 32 NFL teams. Someday, all but one of them will have been fired (or moved on from). This market is for which NFL coach will last the longest in the league with their current team. A coach who immediately signs with another team or is traded will be eliminated. If a team changes cities, the coach will not be eliminated. If a team folds, that coach will be eliminated. Newly formed teams/coaches will not be added.
Temporary leaves of absence (for a game or two, i.e. McVay has a baby)
will not count. Other, more complicated cases (i.e. Pagano having cancer) can be adjudicated in the spirit of the market (and will mostly likely not impact the outcome so will probably lean towards leniency).
If, somehow multiple coaches are still around with their same team through the end of the 2059 season, then this market will resolve with them as joint winners.
If the NFL folds (or inherently changes in an extreme way where all the coaches are removed/change at the same time), then all coaches at that conclusion will resolve as joint winners.
Other Coach Survival Markets: