Will AGI figure out who is the ideal integrator of the conscious human experience by 2030
2
12
Ṁ45Ṁ90
2031
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ600 play money
AI Alignment questions
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
49% chance
What percentage of Manifold poll respondents will agree that weak AGI has been achieved at the end of June 2024?
0.00
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