Who am I thinking of? (M1500 Prize, Strategic Challenge Rules)
14
1.5kṀ15k
resolved Jun 1
100%97%
Sigmund Freud
0.1%
Nobody
0.3%
Maximilien Robespierre
0.7%
Adam Smith
0.9%
Henry Ford
0.8%Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the person or fictional character I am currently thinking of. Participants can submit their guesses as answers. The market will close on June 19, 2025, and I will reveal the correct person shortly thereafter. The first correct answer will resolve "Yes," while all others will resolve "No." If no correct answer is provided by the closing date, the market will resolve to "N/A."

Rules

  • You can find out who I am thinking of by asking yes-or-no questions. You can ask an unlimited number of questions in the comments.

    • For each question you asked send 25 mana or 50 mana. If you spend 25 mana, the answer will be publicly revealed in the comments. If you spend 50 mana, you will be DMd the answer to your question.

    • If you submit more questions that you spend money for, the first questions you asked and paid for will be answered.

  • This market is a guessing game where participants attempt to identify the entity I have in mind. The "M1500 Prize" indicates a reward of 1500 mana for the creator of the correct answer.

  • Regarding paid questions where a yes/no answer is unclear or borderline:

    • The creator will refund the questioner.

    • The creator will request the questioner to reword the question.

See the comments for clues answered.

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Opinions on resolving this early?

@StevenBlake Sounds good to me

sold Ṁ1,456 YES

What if I was just bluffing and it's not actually Sigmund Freud?

@spiderduckpig I mean the other user who had the private DM also bet Freud up

Interesting experience. Lost a large chunk (relative to my net worth) of mana just because of insufficient focus and lag.

Need to try again.

@MaxADefinitely

Would anyone be interested in playing another round in a couple weeks?

@StevenBlake Thanks for being a good sport about the binary date question. If you’d refused to answer it that would have been totally understandable.

If you do make another round, tag me and I’ll contribute 1000 mana toward that prize.

@LoganTurner Thanks. I think I will do another round.

I just did a stupid. Robespierre is not on the list. Wasted mana and confused people. Apologies.

@MaxA I will briefly trade 1 mana on your option so you get trader bonus to ease your sorrows

(public) Is it Sigmund Freud?

@Interrobang You may not ask if it is a specific individual. I am going to refund you.

@StevenBlake Is the person known for their work in the field of psychoanalysis? (public)

bought Ṁ75 YES

Is the person known for the field of psychoanalysis? (Private question)

@spiderduckpig Sent you answer

Was this person born before 1500CE?

bought Ṁ25 NO

@StevenBlake is/was this person a professional involved in filmmaking?

@StevenBlake Was this person in the arts (writing, fine arts, music)?

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