Joining the trend!
I'm thinking of a specific real person or fictional character. At market closing time (and not before), if someone has added the person I'm thinking of to the market, it will resolve to the person. If the person I'm thinking of has not been added to the market, it will be extended for one more week.
Each user can ask one yes-or-no-question in the comments every twelve hours, which I will try to answer in a reasonable time (note at time of market creation: I might go to bed in a couple hours but I'll answer the first batch of questions quickly)
I may reject meta-questions that reveal too much (e.g. "have they already been added to this market") at my discretion.
Update 2025-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the person they are thinking of is a real person.
Update 2025-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the person they are thinking of identifies as male by gender.
Update 2025-05-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator does not think the person they are thinking of is a fan of or involved with the MCU franchise.
Update 2025-05-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that the person they are thinking of does not currently hold a board position at a tech company.
Update 2025-05-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the person they are thinking of has held elected political office at the national or state level.
Update 2025-05-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the person they are thinking of is not the head of one of the 15 Executive Departments.
Update 2025-05-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the person they are thinking of is alive.
Update 2025-05-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will resolve the market earlier than the December 31, 2025 closing date, effectively overriding this date for the timing of resolution.
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
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People are also trading
Were they born in Middletown, Ohio?
@ZaneMiller okay, that rules out Lutnick who was the subject but not the author of a book
Sutskever co-founded and was a former chief scientist at OpenAI. In 2023, he was one of the members of OpenAI's board
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ilya_Sutskever
It seems Ilya is out