Will there be an end to hostilities between Russia and Ukraine before April 1, 2026?
14
100Ṁ3765
Apr 2
4%
chance

A ceasefire agreement that holds for a two week period of time beforehand, or that holds for any amount of time that extends beyond 4-1-26 will count as Yes.

  • Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market closes on April 1st, 2026 (not January 4th, 2026).

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4th January or 1st of April?

@ChristopherRandles First of April

@Stevelhtd2 The close date is set for today which gives the impression it is 4th Jan so I think that should be changed

@ChristopherRandles Thank you. That was a rookie move. I’ll change it.

Just "Ukraine", not "the Ukraine".

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