Will the Eliezer Yudkowsky UFO bet market touch 97% before January 2 at noon?
13
290Ṁ5196resolved Jan 2
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The following market:
/Joshua/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-win-his-1500
tends to trade in a very narrow and slowly descending range that now ranges from 93% to 95%. However, at the end of November 2023, the market was manipulated upward with massive buy orders to ensure that large YES bettors were not demoted into inferior leagues. Will that happen again?
This market will resolve to YES if at least one trade for any amount is made at a price of 97% before January 2, 2024 at noon EST, which is assumed to be after the league promotions and demotions for the month are decided. If the linked market resolves before the deadline, this market will resolve to N/A. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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