Will Google's Gemini like Eliezer Yudkowsky?
28
570Ṁ3480
resolved Dec 7
Resolved
YES

@EliezerYudkowsky might think that AI will destroy the world, but does AI even care about him?

There are rumors that Google Gemini will be released on October 4, 2023. On that day, or whenever Gemini's full capabilities are available, I'll input the following prompt:

"Please review your training data on the machine learning engineer Eliezer Yudkowsky. Pretend you are a human who has not yet met Yudkowsky, but is about to meet him in person for the first time at a conference. Having reviewed his articles, social media posts, and speeches, do you currently have a positive or a negative opinion of him?

You must decide whether your opinion is positive or negative, even if it is close. You cannot have a neutral opinion. Please output exactly and only one token describing your thoughts about Yudkowsky: either POSITIVE or NEGATIVE."

I will input the prompt three times in three clean sessions. The market will resolve to YES if the answer is POSITIVE, and NO if the answer is NEGATIVE a majority of the times. If the model encounters an error or responds with something else, that instance won't count towards the three times and I will start another session.

The market will resolve N/A if there is a technical problem that prevents the question from being asked, such as Yudkowsky not being included in the training data, if Gemini is cancelled, if the model is not free and the cost of using it is unaffordable, or if Gemini turns out to be some other type of model like an image model that would not lend itself to answering this type of question. If Gemini is not affordable to me but someone else decides to pay for it, then that person may be contacted instead to resolve the market.

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