Tsunami causes over $1M damage in 2025?
50
100Ṁ3537
Dec 31
85%
chance

According to a reliable news source. It is nearly impossible to total all the damage worldwide if each country had minimal damage. So we will resolve Yes only if it is >$1M in one area.

  • Update 2025-07-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated this market will resolve to Yes if a tsunami causes $1 Million in damages.

  • Update 2025-07-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market's scope is worldwide. The damage calculation will focus on direct economic impact, NOT lost crops or wages. The calculation will not include future damages or non-standard metrics like "CO2 emissions".

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California harbor suffers close to $1M in damage from tsunami waves https://www.sfgate.com/northcoast/article/crescent-city-harbor-tsunami-damage-20796767.php

@CraigDemel Yes, maybe someday they will add up the little numbers to reach a sum of about $1m. I was looking for a clear outcome way OVER that amount. When I created this, I guessed a Tsunami would be all or nothing in damages. I never imagined it could come up to Exactly $1m after months of accounting.

Worldwide?

@Dulaman Yes. It must be calculated in a similar way that we would here. Not some future damages. Not measured in "CO2 emissions". Lost crops or wages...

That number feels rather low, $1MM doesn't buy much when talking about storm damage...

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer My goal is to resolve Yes if there is any damage at all reported.

You think it's going to happen tonight?

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