
Will Zelenskyy's tenure as president end with a peaceful democratic transition?
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Peaceful & democratic: freely resigning, handing over the presidency to someone else, conceding defeat in an election.
Non-peaceful / non-democratic: death, imprisonment, coerced into resigning, defeat in an election/decision he contests, Ukraine ceasing to exist.
Whether an election result is "contested" will depend on Zelenskyy's official response. If his supporters contest a result but he accepts it, this will count as uncontested.
Re-election would not count as the end of his tenure.
The market will close when Zelenskyy ceases to be president of Ukraine.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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