Who will have the most popular AI assistant at the end of 2025? (judged by active users)
23
1kṀ1264
Dec 31
16%
Google
40%
OpenAI
18%
Meta
27%
Other

I will resolve this market shortly after 2025 ends using all the information I can find online. I will also engage with traders and allow everyone to present their arguments. If the available information is not conclusive, then I will wait for the 2024 earning reports to be released early February before making an informed decision and resolving the market. I won’t bet on this market to avoid bias.


I believe each of these companies has a shot. OpenAI through their iPhone integration, Google with their distribution advantage as the default homepage on many devices, and Meta through their popular apps like WhatsApp and Facebook. I’m excited to see how this plays out.

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