Resolves YES immediately if I have a market with 500 or more traders.
Otherwise resolves NO at the end of the year.
I plan to try to make it happen.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ440 | |
| 2 | Ṁ33 | |
| 3 | Ṁ33 | |
| 4 | Ṁ28 | |
| 5 | Ṁ28 |
Unranked and unsubsidized, which I think is correctly following community guidelines: https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Guidance-for-running-a-market-8cb4257ed3644ec9a1d6cc6c705f7c77
Basically if people are manipulating it via trading in /SneakySly/at-the-end-of-2023-will-twitter-be then it seems non-predictive / self-resolving-ish.
I'm not sure if this is the right call, please feel encouraged to speak up if you disagree.
I probably should cut my losses but instead I'm doubling down by boosting this and the Twitter profitability market. @SneakySly wanna help me out here lol
These kind of markets have a history of spiking up at the last moment and resolving YES because although it takes many people, there's really no way to fight against the trader number increasing, only contribute.